Alexei Popyrin vs Jacob Fearnley Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Fearnley has a second serve win rate of 45.36% over the last six months, slightly lower than Popyrin's 47.32%. Does this indicate an edge for Popyrin? Potentially, yes.
• Regarding return games, Fearnley has won 44.9% of their opponent's second serve points recently, while Popyrin has a slight advantage at 45.94%. For first serve returns, Popyrin again leads with 24.92% compared to Fearnley's 23.62%.
• Under pressure, Popyrin excels by saving 64.1% of breakpoints in recent form, compared to Fearnley's 58.06%. Could this mean Popyrin handles critical points better?
• Despite recent trends, Fearnley has a superior match win rate over the past year at 74.03%, versus Popyrin's 52.83%.
• Fearnley performs best on indoor hard courts, with an 82% win rate, whereas Popyrin prefers clay, winning 57% of his matches there.
• Fearnley's matches are mainly at the Challenger/ITF level, boasting an 86.05% win rate, while Popyrin competes at the Masters level, winning 63.64% of his games.
• Popyrin faces higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 63.89 compared to Fearnley's opponents, who average 182.94 in rank.
• In deciding sets, Fearnley impresses with an 86% win rate, significantly outperforming Popyrin's 47%.
• In breakpoint conversion, Fearnley is more effective, capitalizing on 29.23% of opportunities compared to Popyrin's 20.79%.

Editorial Prediction (May 21, 2025, UTC):

In evaluating the upcoming tennis match between Fearnley and Popyrin, we see both players with strengths in different areas. Fearnley shows a superior overall win percentage and remarkable effectiveness in deciding sets.

However, Popyrin has shown he can perform well under pressure, saving a greater percentage of breakpoints. His track record against tougher opponents may give him a competitive edge in high-stakes play.

Considering Fearnley's decisive upper hand in best-of-the-last-set scenarios and recent court-specific performances, he holds a slight advantage providing the match extends into crucial stages.

Therefore, given the considerations of current form and match context, Fearnley is predicted to be the likely winner of this match.